2024 San Diego Padres Starting Pitcher Sleepers and Busts
Player | PROJ (per game) |
FPTS (per game) |
Diff | Proj Rank | Actual Rank | Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17.6 | 5.0 | -12.6 | 3 | 823 | -820 |
|
14.8 | 9.5 | -5.3 | 11 | 145 | -134 |
|
14.0 | 10.4 | -3.6 | 13 | 95 | -82 |
|
13.9 | 17.2 | 3.3 | 16 | 10 | 6 |
|
14.8 | 16.4 | 1.6 | 17 | 15 | 2 |
|
13.9 | 14.9 | 1.0 | 22 | 24 | -2 |
|
14.8 | 11.3 | -3.5 | 25 | 162 | -137 |
|
13.8 | 13.1 | -0.7 | 26 | 42 | -16 |
|
13.2 | 12.1 | -1.2 | 28 | 49 | -21 |
|
2.7 | 2.5 | -0.3 | 29 | 65 | -36 |
|
13.4 | 10.4 | -3.0 | 30 | 112 | -82 |
|
16.1 | 18.7 | 2.6 | 36 | 3 | 33 |
|
2.7 | 1.9 | -0.7 | 39 | 164 | -125 |
|
12.5 | 12.0 | -0.5 | 41 | 200 | -159 |
|
13.2 | 9.1 | -4.0 | 43 | 220 | -177 |
|
12.7 | 14.1 | 1.4 | 45 | 30 | 15 |
|
12.7 | 16.5 | 3.8 | 47 | 14 | 33 |
|
13.5 | 14.1 | 0.6 | 48 | 39 | 9 |
|
12.5 | -1.5 | -14.0 | 49 | 987 | -938 |
|
13.3 | 12.4 | -0.9 | 50 | 59 | -9 |
|
2.5 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 51 | 68 | -17 |
|
14.3 | 18.3 | 3.9 | 52 | 7 | 45 |
|
13.2 | 14.2 | 1.0 | 55 | 57 | -2 |
|
12.5 | 7.2 | -5.4 | 61 | 381 | -320 |
|
11.6 | 10.1 | -1.5 | 63 | 122 | -59 |
|
12.0 | 11.4 | -0.6 | 65 | 229 | -164 |
|
2.2 | 1.5 | -0.7 | 67 | 441 | -374 |
|
11.8 | 13.5 | 1.7 | 70 | 98 | -28 |
|
11.3 | 13.8 | 2.5 | 72 | 33 | 39 |
|
12.0 | 10.1 | -2.0 | 74 | 179 | -105 |
|
11.4 | 17.5 | 6.1 | 78 | 454 | -376 |
|
12.6 | 3.6 | -9.0 | 82 | 759 | -677 |
|
11.3 | 13.9 | 2.5 | 84 | 32 | 52 |
|
12.9 | 5.4 | -7.5 | 87 | 536 | -449 |
|
11.0 | 11.4 | 0.4 | 92 | 107 | -15 |
|
11.3 | 6.1 | -5.3 | 93 | 440 | -347 |
|
13.1 | 27.5 | 14.4 | 95 | 530 | -435 |
|
10.9 | 10.7 | -0.1 | 97 | 245 | -148 |
|
13.0 | 19.3 | 6.3 | 101 | 12 | 89 |
|
10.7 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 105 | 52 | 53 |
|
2.1 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 106 | 60 | 46 |
|
11.5 | 13.6 | 2.1 | 107 | 26 | 81 |
|
11.8 | 17.6 | 5.8 | 110 | 20 | 90 |
|
10.6 | 8.9 | -1.7 | 112 | 493 | -381 |
|
2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 127 | 66 | 61 |
|
11.4 | 12.8 | 1.4 | 128 | 51 | 77 |
|
10.5 | 8.8 | -1.8 | 131 | 181 | -50 |
|
10.5 | 11.6 | 1.1 | 133 | 79 | 54 |
|
10.1 | 10.9 | 0.8 | 136 | 96 | 40 |
|
11.1 | 11.5 | 0.4 | 138 | 222 | -84 |
|
9.6 | 11.3 | 1.7 | 143 | 70 | 73 |
|
11.4 | 12.7 | 1.3 | 146 | 142 | 4 |
|
9.8 | 8.9 | -1.0 | 150 | 175 | -25 |
|
10.9 | 5.5 | -5.4 | 155 | 370 | -215 |
|
10.6 | 10.1 | -0.5 | 165 | 206 | -41 |
|
9.8 | 8.5 | -1.3 | 168 | 188 | -20 |
|
9.6 | 9.6 | 0.0 | 176 | 192 | -16 |
|
10.7 | 11.8 | 1.1 | 177 | 56 | 121 |
|
12.0 | 10.8 | -1.2 | 181 | 292 | -111 |
|
9.9 | 5.4 | -4.4 | 183 | 474 | -291 |
|
9.5 | 5.5 | -4.0 | 184 | 372 | -188 |
|
9.8 | 9.9 | 0.0 | 186 | 160 | 26 |
|
10.2 | 11.2 | 1.0 | 187 | 91 | 96 |
|
9.2 | 14.5 | 5.3 | 190 | 253 | -63 |
|
11.0 | 14.6 | 3.6 | 191 | 53 | 138 |
|
9.3 | 6.2 | -3.1 | 202 | 329 | -127 |
|
10.0 | 8.1 | -1.9 | 203 | 522 | -319 |
|
8.7 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 204 | 182 | 22 |
|
9.3 | 0.3 | -8.9 | 206 | 909 | -703 |
|
9.2 | 3.7 | -5.6 | 207 | 594 | -387 |
|
9.8 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 214 | 64 | 150 |
|
9.8 | 9.8 | -0.1 | 216 | 136 | 80 |
|
8.8 | 10.0 | 1.2 | 218 | 364 | -146 |
|
9.4 | 11.1 | 1.7 | 219 | 113 | 106 |
|
11.0 | 14.4 | 3.4 | 220 | 259 | -39 |
|
9.1 | 16.8 | 7.7 | 224 | 13 | 211 |
|
8.7 | 5.7 | -3.0 | 226 | 521 | -295 |
|
8.4 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 229 | 99 | 130 |
|
9.3 | 14.2 | 4.9 | 234 | 135 | 99 |
|
8.9 | 6.8 | -2.1 | 235 | 336 | -101 |
|
9.5 | 15.6 | 6.1 | 240 | 77 | 163 |
|
9.5 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 241 | 201 | 40 |
|
10.2 | 9.6 | -0.6 | 242 | 193 | 49 |
|
10.6 | 6.7 | -3.9 | 243 | 297 | -54 |
|
8.8 | 4.8 | -4.0 | 244 | 420 | -176 |
|
9.3 | 6.4 | -2.9 | 251 | 313 | -62 |
|
11.4 | 2.8 | -8.7 | 253 | 728 | -475 |
|
9.7 | 18.7 | 9.0 | 254 | 4 | 250 |
|
7.9 | -11.0 | -18.9 | 267 | 1,005 | -738 |
|
8.8 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 271 | 93 | 178 |
|
10.2 | 6.7 | -3.5 | 274 | 325 | -51 |
|
8.6 | 7.8 | -0.8 | 281 | 315 | -34 |
|
9.7 | 10.7 | 1.0 | 282 | 125 | 157 |
|
8.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | 286 | 574 | -288 |
|
8.4 | 16.3 | 7.9 | 289 | 29 | 260 |
|
8.1 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 291 | 104 | 187 |
|
8.2 | 9.3 | 1.1 | 294 | 156 | 138 |
|
1.8 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 302 | 28 | 274 |
|
8.6 | 6.7 | -1.9 | 305 | 412 | -107 |
|
9.6 | 6.0 | -3.6 | 308 | 390 | -82 |
|
7.6 | 8.5 | 0.9 | 309 | 189 | 120 |
|
8.8 | 9.5 | 0.7 | 310 | 146 | 164 |
|
9.4 | 4.4 | -5.0 | 312 | 727 | -415 |
|
8.2 | 17.1 | 8.9 | 316 | 8 | 308 |
|
8.2 | 0.5 | -7.7 | 318 | 918 | -600 |
|
8.2 | 6.7 | -1.5 | 319 | 324 | -5 |
|
4.5 | -0.2 | -4.7 | 320 | 967 | -647 |
|
4.9 | 2.7 | -2.3 | 321 | 844 | -523 |
|
7.8 | 11.5 | 3.7 | 322 | 82 | 240 |
|
3.6 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 325 | 47 | 278 |
|
10.0 | -3.5 | -13.5 | 329 | 981 | -652 |
|
8.0 | 13.3 | 5.2 | 330 | 41 | 289 |
|
3.5 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 333 | 73 | 260 |
|
7.9 | 1.6 | -6.4 | 336 | 726 | -390 |
|
8.6 | 14.5 | 5.9 | 339 | 514 | -175 |
|
5.7 | -2.0 | -7.7 | 343 | 982 | -639 |
|
6.3 | 16.0 | 9.7 | 347 | 44 | 303 |
|
4.2 | 15.3 | 11.1 | 349 | 16 | 333 |
|
1.8 | 1.8 | -0.1 | 353 | 246 | 107 |
|
8.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 360 | 89 | 271 |
|
6.6 | 0.1 | -6.5 | 362 | 914 | -552 |
|
7.6 | 1.5 | -6.1 | 363 | 835 | -472 |
|
6.1 | 3.3 | -2.8 | 364 | 544 | -180 |
|
7.3 | 1.6 | -5.7 | 365 | 704 | -339 |
|
8.2 | 3.5 | -4.8 | 367 | 552 | -185 |
|
7.5 | 6.3 | -1.2 | 372 | 597 | -225 |
|
8.1 | 10.5 | 2.4 | 373 | 163 | 210 |
|
7.8 | 8.8 | 1.1 | 374 | 258 | 116 |
|
7.5 | 3.5 | -4.0 | 377 | 854 | -477 |
|
7.5 | 8.7 | 1.3 | 378 | 207 | 171 |
|
6.9 | 1.9 | -5.0 | 380 | 720 | -340 |
|
14.2 | 23.0 | 8.8 | 381 | 722 | -341 |
|
1.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 388 | 114 | 274 |
|
7.5 | 2.8 | -4.7 | 390 | 701 | -311 |
|
7.7 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 392 | 150 | 242 |
|
8.1 | -1.8 | -9.8 | 393 | 979 | -586 |
|
4.5 | 1.9 | -2.5 | 395 | 491 | -96 |
|
2.9 | 1.2 | -1.7 | 397 | 605 | -208 |
|
6.8 | 10.5 | 3.7 | 398 | 393 | 5 |
|
6.8 | 5.4 | -1.4 | 402 | 507 | -105 |
|
5.6 | 13.9 | 8.3 | 404 | 141 | 263 |
|
7.3 | 10.1 | 2.9 | 405 | 144 | 261 |
|
7.3 | 11.2 | 4.0 | 409 | 320 | 89 |
|
4.7 | 1.0 | -3.7 | 418 | 880 | -462 |
|
3.6 | 1.6 | -2.0 | 423 | 675 | -252 |
|
5.9 | 9.5 | 3.6 | 432 | 143 | 289 |
|
5.8 | 5.0 | -0.8 | 435 | 475 | -40 |
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 439 | 308 | 131 |
|
6.8 | 7.4 | 0.6 | 446 | 275 | 171 |
|
3.7 | 8.0 | 4.3 | 448 | 240 | 208 |
|
2.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 451 | 385 | 66 |
|
6.5 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 454 | 476 | -22 |
|
2.3 | 0.3 | -2.0 | 457 | 833 | -376 |
|
6.1 | 11.8 | 5.6 | 461 | 76 | 385 |
|
5.2 | -5.0 | -10.2 | 462 | 1,008 | -546 |
|
7.0 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 466 | 570 | -104 |
|
5.3 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 467 | 363 | 104 |
|
4.1 | -3.0 | -7.1 | 470 | 975 | -505 |
|
5.1 | 1.6 | -3.5 | 482 | 614 | -132 |
|
7.1 | 4.5 | -2.5 | 484 | 466 | 18 |
|
5.6 | 4.2 | -1.4 | 487 | 449 | 38 |
|
5.3 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 489 | 659 | -170 |
|
5.8 | 5.6 | -0.2 | 490 | 683 | -193 |
|
2.5 | 0.8 | -1.7 | 500 | 687 | -187 |
|
4.4 | 2.5 | -1.9 | 502 | 553 | -51 |
|
3.6 | -0.4 | -4.0 | 503 | 955 | -452 |
|
5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | 504 | 562 | -58 |
|
6.7 | 12.1 | 5.4 | 512 | 87 | 425 |
|
5.5 | 2.8 | -2.7 | 515 | 793 | -278 |
|
9.4 | 4.7 | -4.7 | 516 | 794 | -278 |
|
3.5 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 522 | 108 | 414 |
|
2.2 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 524 | 248 | 276 |
|
2.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 525 | 416 | 109 |
|
4.5 | 2.8 | -1.7 | 530 | 790 | -260 |
|
1.7 | 1.5 | -0.2 | 534 | 515 | 19 |
|
1.8 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 536 | 560 | -24 |
|
2.5 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 543 | 214 | 329 |
|
5.5 | 7.6 | 2.0 | 545 | 545 | 0 |
|
2.7 | -11.0 | -13.7 | 573 | 991 | -418 |
|
4.2 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 581 | 721 | -140 |
|
7.1 | 17.7 | 10.6 | 582 | 546 | 36 |
|
6.6 | 0.7 | -5.9 | 586 | 877 | -291 |
|
3.4 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 590 | 366 | 224 |
|
2.6 | 2.7 | 0.1 | 596 | 429 | 167 |
|
2.5 | 12.7 | 10.1 | 597 | 147 | 450 |
|
3.2 | 1.8 | -1.4 | 599 | 669 | -70 |
|
6.0 | 10.8 | 4.8 | 606 | 543 | 63 |
|
3.7 | 2.0 | -1.7 | 616 | 907 | -291 |
|
1.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 621 | 445 | 176 |
|
6.2 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 625 | 100 | 525 |
|
2.5 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 629 | 361 | 268 |
|
5.2 | 10.5 | 5.4 | 634 | 737 | -103 |
|
3.8 | 1.2 | -2.6 | 639 | 856 | -217 |
|
1.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 646 | 472 | 174 |
|
2.0 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 647 | 446 | 201 |
|
2.1 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 661 | 191 | 470 |
|
4.2 | 15.9 | 11.8 | 664 | 23 | 641 |
|
2.7 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 666 | 69 | 597 |
|
2.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 668 | 234 | 434 |
|
5.2 | 3.0 | -2.2 | 675 | 670 | 5 |
|
1.7 | 1.0 | -0.7 | 678 | 631 | 47 |
|
5.2 | 4.1 | -1.1 | 681 | 498 | 183 |
|
1.5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 689 | 636 | 53 |
|
3.6 | -2.0 | -5.6 | 693 | 984 | -291 |
|
2.2 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 695 | 218 | 477 |
|
2.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 701 | 855 | -154 |
|
2.6 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 705 | 489 | 216 |
|
3.4 | 0.3 | -3.1 | 708 | 870 | -162 |
|
2.9 | -1.8 | -4.7 | 709 | 986 | -277 |
|
2.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 710 | 379 | 331 |
|
2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 712 | 843 | -131 |
|
1.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 716 | 456 | 260 |
|
1.8 | 16.9 | 15.2 | 720 | 25 | 695 |
|
1.7 | 9.4 | 7.6 | 731 | 205 | 526 |
|
3.7 | 1.4 | -2.2 | 734 | 797 | -63 |
|
2.3 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 736 | 213 | 523 |
|
2.4 | 0.6 | -1.8 | 737 | 898 | -161 |
|
4.1 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 739 | 330 | 409 |
|
3.5 | -4.5 | -8.0 | 743 | 1,009 | -266 |
|
3.2 | 8.1 | 4.9 | 746 | 334 | 412 |
|
2.3 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 752 | 606 | 146 |
|
2.3 | 5.4 | 3.1 | 771 | 509 | 262 |
|
2.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 777 | 290 | 487 |
|
2.8 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 784 | 252 | 532 |
|
7.1 | 19.0 | 11.9 | 785 | 148 | 637 |
|
2.2 | 0.3 | -1.9 | 786 | 883 | -97 |
|
5.6 | -9.0 | -14.6 | 789 | 1,002 | -213 |
|
4.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 791 | 807 | -16 |
|
2.0 | 1.9 | -0.1 | 793 | 453 | 340 |
|
1.4 | 1.3 | -0.1 | 797 | 577 | 220 |
|
3.3 | 0.9 | -2.4 | 798 | 791 | 7 |
|
2.9 | 0.7 | -2.2 | 800 | 825 | -25 |
|
4.9 | 3.2 | -1.7 | 804 | 485 | 319 |
|
1.9 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 812 | 539 | 273 |
|
1.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 820 | 780 | 40 |
|
1.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 821 | 391 | 430 |
|
1.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 824 | 584 | 240 |
|
1.5 | 1.1 | -0.4 | 827 | 644 | 183 |
|
2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 832 | 932 | -100 |
|
1.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 838 | 667 | 171 |
|
1.7 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 863 | 197 | 666 |
|
2.5 | 6.4 | 3.8 | 867 | 561 | 306 |
|
1.7 | -0.1 | -1.8 | 868 | 958 | -90 |
|
3.9 | -9.0 | -12.9 | 871 | 989 | -118 |
|
1.9 | 1.4 | -0.5 | 872 | 758 | 114 |
|
1.4 | -0.9 | -2.3 | 875 | 998 | -123 |
|
3.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 876 | 576 | 300 |
|
1.3 | 0.4 | -0.9 | 881 | 708 | 173 |
|
3.9 | 0.0 | -3.9 | 884 | 935 | -51 |
|
1.7 | -2.8 | -4.4 | 887 | 992 | -105 |
|
2.8 | -1.0 | -3.8 | 889 | 960 | -71 |
|
2.3 | -1.8 | -4.0 | 891 | 977 | -86 |
|
2.2 | 8.9 | 6.8 | 892 | 172 | 720 |
|
2.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 898 | 956 | -58 |
|
3.3 | -12.0 | -15.3 | 913 | 1,007 | -94 |
|
2.7 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 919 | 554 | 365 |
|
1.8 | -7.5 | -9.3 | 926 | 1,010 | -84 |
|
1.9 | 9.5 | 7.6 | 930 | 755 | 175 |
|
1.8 | 1.2 | -0.6 | 936 | 618 | 318 |
|
1.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 938 | 689 | 249 |
|
9.6 | 5.3 | -4.3 | 939 | 736 | 203 |
|
2.1 | -8.0 | -10.1 | 943 | 999 | -56 |
|
5.9 | 5.8 | -0.1 | 945 | 274 | 671 |
|
1.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 951 | 326 | 625 |
|
3.4 | 0.9 | -2.5 | 955 | 850 | 105 |
|
1.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 963 | 829 | 134 |
|
1.9 | 0.2 | -1.7 | 974 | 891 | 83 |
|
1.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 995 | 902 | 93 |
|
2.3 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1,010 | 839 | 171 |
|
4.5 | 1.3 | -3.1 | 1,016 | 888 | 128 |
|
1.8 | 0.7 | -1.1 | 1,021 | 774 | 247 |
|
1.0 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 1,028 | 567 | 461 |
|
1.6 | -0.3 | -1.9 | 1,029 | 969 | 60 |
|
6.2 | 2.4 | -3.9 | 1,035 | 654 | 381 |
|
1.6 | 0.5 | -1.1 | 1,049 | 921 | 128 |
|
2.9 | 10.5 | 7.6 | 1,067 | 226 | 841 |
|
2.0 | 10.6 | 8.6 | 1,068 | 436 | 632 |
|
1.6 | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1,073 | 864 | 209 |
|
2.1 | 10.4 | 8.3 | 1,074 | 439 | 635 |
|
12.8 | 0.0 | -12.8 | 1,079 | 929 | 150 |
|
1.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 1,081 | 796 | 285 |
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 1,082 | 513 | 569 |
|
4.5 | -5.0 | -9.5 | 1,088 | 973 | 115 |
|
2.1 | -8.0 | -10.1 | 1,091 | 1,000 | 91 |
|
2.3 | -2.0 | -4.3 | 1,112 | 976 | 136 |
|
3.1 | 2.7 | -0.4 | 1,122 | 462 | 660 |
|
1.7 | 0.7 | -1.0 | 1,125 | 746 | 379 |
|
2.7 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 1,130 | 603 | 527 |
|
1.8 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 1,175 | 623 | 552 |
|
1.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1,187 | 900 | 287 |
|
1.2 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 1,238 | 942 | 296 |
|
1.4 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 1,246 | 930 | 316 |
|
1.3 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 1,268 | 604 | 664 |
|
1.5 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 1,272 | 944 | 328 |