2024 Chicago Cubs First Base Sleepers and Busts
Player | PROJ (per game) |
FPTS (per game) |
Diff | Proj Rank | Actual Rank | Ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freddie FreemanF. Freeman (LAD - 1B) | 3.1 | 3.0 | -0.1 | 7 | 21 | -14 |
Matt OlsonM. Olson (ATL - 1B) | 3.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 155 | -147 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.V. Guerrero Jr. (TOR - 1B,DH) | 2.9 | 2.4 | -0.4 | 10 | 72 | -62 |
Bryce HarperB. Harper (PHI - 1B,DH) | 2.8 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Pete AlonsoP. Alonso (NYM - 1B) | 2.6 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 35 | 75 | -40 |
Paul GoldschmidtP. Goldschmidt (STL - 1B,DH) | 2.4 | 1.4 | -0.9 | 42 | 294 | -252 |
Yandy DiazY. Diaz (TB - 1B,DH) | 2.4 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 44 | 106 | -62 |
Christian WalkerC. Walker (ARI - 1B) | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 46 | 81 | -35 |
Luis ArraezL. Arraez (SD - 2B,DH,1B) | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 51 | 68 | -17 |
Nico HoernerN. Hoerner (CHC - 2B,SS) | 2.4 | 2.1 | -0.3 | 54 | 153 | -99 |
Justin SteeleJ. Steele (CHC - SP) | 12.0 | 11.4 | -0.6 | 65 | 229 | -164 |
Triston CasasT. Casas (BOS - 1B) | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 69 | 572 | -503 |
Josh NaylorJ. Naylor (CLE - 1B,DH) | 2.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | 71 | 37 | 34 |
Vinnie PasquantinoV. Pasquantino (KC - 1B,DH) | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 76 | 85 | -9 |
Spencer TorkelsonS. Torkelson (DET - 1B) | 2.1 | 1.3 | -0.8 | 79 | 442 | -363 |
Ian HappI. Happ (CHC - LF) | 2.1 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 86 | 174 | -88 |
Cody BellingerC. Bellinger (CHC - 1B,CF) | 2.5 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 88 | 127 | -39 |
Dansby SwansonD. Swanson (CHC - SS) | 2.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 91 | 304 | -213 |
Alec BohmA. Bohm (PHI - 3B,1B) | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 96 | 27 | 69 |
Spencer SteerS. Steer (CIN - 1B,LF,3B) | 2.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 100 | 86 | 14 |
Isaac ParedesI. Paredes (TB - 3B,1B) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 103 | 94 | 9 |
Seiya SuzukiS. Suzuki (CHC - RF,DH) | 2.2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 111 | 281 | -170 |
Josh BellJ. Bell (MIA - 1B,DH) | 2.2 | 1.8 | -0.4 | 115 | 183 | -68 |
Jake CronenworthJ. Cronenworth (SD - 2B,1B) | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 127 | 66 | 61 |
Rhys HoskinsR. Hoskins (MIL - 1B,DH) | 2.2 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 141 | 273 | -132 |
Justin TurnerJ. Turner (TOR - DH,1B) | 2.1 | 1.8 | -0.3 | 144 | 237 | -93 |
Andrew VaughnA. Vaughn (CHW - 1B) | 2.0 | 1.6 | -0.4 | 149 | 243 | -94 |
Jeimer CandelarioJ. Candelario (CIN - 1B,3B) | 2.2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 156 | 151 | 5 |
Kris BryantK. Bryant (COL - DH,RF,1B) | 2.0 | 0.8 | -1.3 | 160 | 749 | -589 |
Nate LoweN. Lowe (TEX - 1B) | 2.0 | 1.6 | -0.4 | 162 | 345 | -183 |
Jose AbreuJ. Abreu (1B) | 2.0 | 0.4 | -1.5 | 166 | 781 | -615 |
Christian Encarnacion-StrandC. Encarnacion-Strand (CIN - 1B,DH) | 2.1 | 1.1 | -1.0 | 170 | 655 | -485 |
Jake BurgerJ. Burger (MIA - 3B,DH,1B) | 1.9 | 1.3 | -0.6 | 171 | 433 | -262 |
Ty FranceT. France (SEA - 1B) | 2.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | 173 | 306 | -133 |
Adbert AlzolayA. Alzolay (CHC - RP) | 6.5 | 1.2 | -5.2 | 178 | 723 | -545 |
Nolan SchanuelN. Schanuel (LAA - 1B) | 2.1 | 1.6 | -0.5 | 185 | 254 | -69 |
Shota ImanagaS. Imanaga (CHC - SP) | 11.0 | 14.6 | 3.6 | 191 | 53 | 138 |
Mark CanhaM. Canha (DET - LF,DH,RF,1B) | 2.2 | 1.8 | -0.4 | 197 | 194 | 3 |
Joey MenesesJ. Meneses (WSH - 1B,DH) | 1.8 | 1.6 | -0.2 | 221 | 285 | -64 |
Jameson TaillonJ. Taillon (CHC - SP) | 9.5 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 241 | 201 | 40 |
Salvador PerezS. Perez (KC - C,DH,1B) | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 246 | 105 | 141 |
Carlos SantanaC. Santana (MIN - 1B) | 2.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 248 | 118 | 130 |
Christopher MorelC. Morel (CHC - DH,CF,3B) | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 250 | 119 | 131 |
Brandon DruryB. Drury (LAA - 2B,1B) | 1.9 | 0.8 | -1.1 | 252 | 699 | -447 |
Anthony RizzoA. Rizzo (NYY - 1B) | 2.0 | 1.7 | -0.3 | 255 | 238 | 17 |
Ryan MountcastleR. Mountcastle (BAL - 1B,DH) | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 279 | 102 | 177 |
DJ LeMahieuD. LeMahieu (NYY - 3B,1B) | 1.8 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 283 | 756 | -473 |
LaMonte WadeL. Wade (SF - 1B,RF,LF) | 2.1 | 1.8 | -0.3 | 284 | 349 | -65 |
Wilmer FloresW. Flores (SF - 1B,DH,3B) | 2.6 | 1.5 | -1.1 | 328 | 333 | -5 |
Alex KirilloffA. Kirilloff (MIN - LF,DH,RF,1B) | 2.1 | 1.2 | -0.9 | 331 | 457 | -126 |
Kyle HendricksK. Hendricks (CHC - SP,RP) | 7.9 | 1.6 | -6.4 | 336 | 726 | -390 |
Ryan NodaR. Noda (OAK - 1B) | 1.5 | 0.2 | -1.3 | 344 | 861 | -517 |
Rowdy TellezR. Tellez (PIT - 1B,DH) | 2.1 | 1.0 | -1.1 | 359 | 471 | -112 |
Jordan WicksJ. Wicks (CHC - SP) | 7.5 | 6.3 | -1.2 | 372 | 597 | -225 |
Ryan O'HearnR. O'Hearn (BAL - 1B,DH,RF) | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 382 | 138 | 244 |
Michael BuschM. Busch (CHC - 1B,3B) | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 412 | 282 | 130 |
Hector NerisH. Neris (CHC - RP) | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 413 | 322 | 91 |
Kyle ManzardoK. Manzardo (CLE - 1B,DH) | 2.0 | 0.6 | -1.4 | 420 | 763 | -343 |
Drew SmylyD. Smyly (CHC - SP,RP) | 3.6 | 1.6 | -2.0 | 423 | 675 | -252 |
Elehuris MonteroE. Montero (COL - DH,1B) | 1.8 | 1.3 | -0.5 | 428 | 382 | 46 |
Gio UrshelaG. Urshela (DET - 3B,1B) | 2.0 | 1.3 | -0.7 | 434 | 463 | -29 |
Luke RaleyL. Raley (SEA - RF,LF,1B) | 1.8 | 1.3 | -0.5 | 443 | 377 | 66 |
Joey GalloJ. Gallo (WSH - 1B,LF) | 1.6 | 0.5 | -1.0 | 444 | 710 | -266 |
Connor JoeC. Joe (PIT - LF,RF,1B) | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 445 | 217 | 228 |
Cavan BiggioC. Biggio (LAD - 2B,RF,3B,1B) | 1.7 | 0.6 | -1.1 | 468 | 656 | -188 |
Ezequiel DuranE. Duran (TEX - 3B,DH,LF,SS,1B) | 1.8 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 480 | 558 | -78 |
Julian MerryweatherJ. Merryweather (CHC - RP) | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 491 | 812 | -321 |
Gavin SheetsG. Sheets (CHW - RF,DH,1B) | 1.8 | 1.7 | -0.1 | 494 | 224 | 270 |
Mauricio DubonM. Dubon (HOU - CF,LF,2B,1B) | 2.2 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 521 | 235 | 286 |
Javier AssadJ. Assad (CHC - SP,RP) | 3.5 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 522 | 108 | 414 |
Donovan SolanoD. Solano (SD - 1B,DH,3B,2B) | 1.7 | 1.5 | -0.2 | 534 | 515 | 19 |
Mark LeiterM. Leiter (CHC - RP) | 2.0 | 0.6 | -1.4 | 540 | 740 | -200 |
Abraham ToroA. Toro (OAK - 3B,DH,2B,1B) | 1.8 | 1.7 | -0.1 | 567 | 231 | 336 |
Jonathan ArandaJ. Aranda (TB - 1B) | 2.1 | 0.9 | -1.2 | 594 | 773 | -179 |
Pete Crow-ArmstrongP. Crow-Armstrong (CHC - CF) | 1.8 | 0.7 | -1.1 | 607 | 653 | -46 |
Mike TauchmanM. Tauchman (CHC - LF,DH,RF,CF) | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 612 | 225 | 387 |
Gabriel AriasG. Arias (CLE - SS,3B,1B) | 1.4 | 0.9 | -0.5 | 631 | 616 | 15 |
J.D. DavisJ. Davis (NYY - 3B,1B) | 1.6 | 1.0 | -0.7 | 653 | 617 | 36 |
Nick MadrigalN. Madrigal (CHC - 2B,3B) | 2.0 | 0.6 | -1.4 | 663 | 657 | 6 |
Hunter GoodmanH. Goodman (COL - RF,1B) | 1.7 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 711 | 563 | 148 |
Patrick WisdomP. Wisdom (CHC - 3B,1B) | 1.3 | 1.0 | -0.4 | 725 | 638 | 87 |
Nick PrattoN. Pratto (KC - 1B,LF) | 1.3 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 732 | 938 | -206 |
Garrett CooperG. Cooper (BAL - 1B,DH) | 1.9 | 0.6 | -1.3 | 766 | 731 | 35 |
Ben BrownB. Brown (CHC - SP,RP) | 2.8 | 7.7 | 4.9 | 784 | 252 | 532 |
Hayden WesneskiH. Wesneski (CHC - SP,RP) | 4.9 | 3.2 | -1.7 | 804 | 485 | 319 |
Yency AlmonteY. Almonte (CHC - RP) | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 828 | 607 | 221 |
Jorge LopezJ. Lopez (CHC - RP) | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.6 | 834 | 642 | 192 |
Daniel PalenciaD. Palencia (CHC - RP) | 1.8 | 1.4 | -0.4 | 849 | 827 | 22 |
Miguel AmayaM. Amaya (CHC - C) | 1.6 | 0.7 | -0.9 | 862 | 610 | 252 |
Dominic SmithD. Smith (BOS - 1B) | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 870 | 467 | 403 |
Tyler SoderstromT. Soderstrom (OAK - C,1B) | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 873 | 549 | 324 |
Luke LittleL. Little (CHC - RP) | 1.9 | 1.3 | -0.6 | 883 | 664 | 219 |
Jake BauersJ. Bauers (MIL - 1B,RF,LF) | 1.6 | 1.4 | -0.2 | 893 | 411 | 482 |
Keegan ThompsonK. Thompson (CHC - RP) | 2.0 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 897 | 592 | 305 |
Emmanuel RiveraE. Rivera (MIA - 3B,1B) | 1.9 | 0.4 | -1.4 | 947 | 695 | 252 |
Owen MillerO. Miller (MIL - 1B,3B,2B) | 1.9 | 0.2 | -1.7 | 992 | 899 | 93 |
Jon SingletonJ. Singleton (HOU - 1B) | 1.5 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 1,051 | 470 | 581 |
Jake CaveJ. Cave (COL - LF,RF,1B) | 1.5 | 0.9 | -0.7 | 1,053 | 559 | 494 |
Nick LoftinN. Loftin (KC - 2B,1B) | 2.0 | 1.3 | -0.8 | 1,118 | 569 | 549 |
Kody ClemensK. Clemens (PHI - 2B,3B,1B) | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1,148 | 652 | 496 |
Matt MervisM. Mervis (CHC - 1B) | 1.7 | 0.1 | -1.6 | 1,154 | 919 | 235 |
Miles MastrobuoniM. Mastrobuoni (CHC - 3B) | 1.5 | 0.5 | -1.1 | 1,158 | 831 | 327 |
Michael TogliaM. Toglia (COL - RF,1B) | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1,165 | 526 | 639 |
Trey CabbageT. Cabbage (HOU - 1B,RF) | 1.5 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 1,182 | 734 | 448 |
David FryD. Fry (CLE - C,DH,LF,1B) | 1.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1,195 | 186 | 1,009 |
Miguel SanoM. Sano (LAA - 1B) | 1.3 | 0.7 | -0.6 | 1,197 | 775 | 422 |
Bobby DalbecB. Dalbec (BOS - 1B,3B) | 1.1 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 1,227 | 954 | 273 |
Spencer HorwitzS. Horwitz (TOR - 1B,2B) | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1,228 | 599 | 629 |
Jared WalshJ. Walsh (CHW - 1B) | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 1,243 | 748 | 495 |
Alexander CanarioA. Canario (CHC - RF) | 1.6 | 0.6 | -1.0 | 1,257 | 847 | 410 |
Tyler NevinT. Nevin (OAK - 3B,RF,1B) | 1.5 | 1.2 | -0.4 | 1,278 | 520 | 758 |